最近英國兩件新聞／莊峻華

 最近英國兩件新聞／莊峻華

最近英國兩件新聞，登上網路新聞頭條，就是雅虎新聞迅速轉載新聞社快報，都引起我注意，我只看頭條和一則影訊，就有結論意見，一是英國新首相特勞斯開除財務大臣，一是中國駐曼徹斯特總領館，驅使館員館外示威者拖入館內歐打，為英警解救，我對英國十分心儀，而且兩處城市，都拜訪過多次。

英國國家財務有困難，因此前首相強森下台，女相特勞斯上台不久，就給高收入者減稅，引起大譁，於是開除財相脫困，解除不新任危機，當然下一步看能否減息刺激經濟？但英國利息低於零，無息可減，顯然於通貨膨脹難題無解，特勞斯是保守黨，和美國共和黨想法類似，為高收入者服務。英國是議會制，有上院和下院，下院多數黨推出首相，日本，德國類似，和美國之總統制不同，每件議案，首相若無把握通過，不敢提案表決，否則曰不信任投票，國會需要即時改選，這和美國的川普美墨萬里長城案類似，但川普援例遭否決後，仍舊可以死賴，逼國會就範預算，就是讓預算不通過，關閉政府機關，大家憶否此事？我曾經在英國國會旁聽兩小時，也算有趣，國會在泰晤士河畔，衛斯敏靈士教堂旁，旁邊有一里察特王銅像。

我住曼徹斯特市好幾次，特別有感情，香港移民到中國總領館示威，中國使領館不習慣，派十位帶頭盔館員，外出打架，這比當年國民黨中國官員囂張，我年輕時經常在美國參加示威台灣國民黨使領館，國民黨開始還派人照相，羅致黑名單，僅此而已，國民黨中國人外交官，比較文明，黑名單案還跟我們入綠道大廈溝通，其實我們也向休市中國總領館示威，和中國外交官開會吃飯過，這曼徹斯特中國總領館太野蠻過份，我看英國警察約十位立即衝入救人，一點都不含糊，這才是法治，才是國家，中國駐曼徹斯特總領館，真是丟臉，素質太差，無法跟其休市總領館外交官相比較，我們在美國示威中國人，當地警察僅派一位，只有1976年元旦時，為白雅燦到白宮附近小公園示威，華府市政府，派高大騎警來象徵性維持秩序，美國示威都需事先登記，這是人民表示意見之基本權利，憲法第一修正案保障，美國憲法學英國，中國官員要虛心學習。

U.S. has declared War against China/Carlos Pueblo

 U.S. has declared War against China/Carlos Pueblo

You may say that I am exaggerated yet I do see the consequence on You Tube about the economic condition after the out break of the Wuhan Corona Virus Pandemic. Chinese You Tubers disagree of the Chinese official GDP monthly repost of 2.5% growth. The banking system of China, the real estate market, the national employment out look, and the so called one belt and one road investment, etc. are all in collapsed condition. The U.S. has posted a surcharged of 25% import tax upon Chinese goods to the U.S. from Trump to Biden administrations. Xi and his Communist regime don't know what is going on and how to manage the War started it with the economic hostility. Xi doesn't dare to respond Trump military intimation before the end of his regime yet the Biden's administration even post sanction of the high technology products to China.

Chinese do not know the reason why they are facing such hostility. I am telling you now. The whole world as well as the U.S. are suffering to the out break of the Wuhan Corona Virus Pandemic in the financial stress as well as human loses tremendously. They can neither forgive nor forget China. The economic punishment is about right for the time being.

The United Kingdom, Japan, and the U.S. are suffering so much in Hong Kong for Xi's break of Deng's promise to U.K. to keep the existing system for 50 years in 1997. They don't forget it and they don't want to see their interests in Taiwan are suffering to the same results when Xi invades Taiwan. They don't want to respond to the same of Russia to invade Ukraine. The U.S. is ready to help to defend Taiwan when China makes the first move.

When the inflation 2022 occurs, the U.S. Federal Reserve hikes lending interest rate that I know the U.S. is confident in their economic out looks while China lowers it rate in order to stimulate it economic to avoid the recession. I understand that the U.S. is more resilient than China to the inflation of 2022. The U.S. can take it while China can't. Instead to study how to deal with the economic war against the U.S. Xi is still in dream of invading Taiwan. I don't see that Chinese Communist regime pay any attention or care about the collapse of their economic situation including the banks, the unemployment, the real estate, the closure of factories, etc. Xi is still smarter than Russian's Putin in the military action to invade the other nations.

Biden and his associates in the White House are very firm to deal with China. They are able persons, much better than Trump's and Xi's China. The confrontation War in economic is on.

美國已經對中國宣戰／莊峻華

 美國已經對中國宣戰／莊峻華

美國對中國宣戰，是在川普任內開始的增加進口稅，美國舉出很多原因，包括高科技盜版，貿易不平衡，中國習進平政權，不知如何應付，問題未解決，拜登上台後繼續維持25％關稅，中國貨物成本加高，雖然不甚嚴重美國整體經濟消耗面，但一定是通貨膨脹2022之一因素。

2019年，中國武漢肺炎，禍延全球，美國包括在內，這種事若發生在中國以外之任一國家，都可以讓人提早警戒，惟獨中國，死要顏面，封鎖病情，隱瞞真況，又不知清零，開放國民出國旅行，武肺迅速傳染到全球，讓全球經濟幾近崩潰，世界各國吃頓燜虧，幸好美國發明兩種疫苗，花錢遏阻武肺繼續漫延。中國裝傻，美國政府牢記此虧。

香港的一國一制，讓美國，英國，和日本等國，蒙受巨大經濟損失，經濟列強都同意要制裁中國，所以美國之增加關稅中國，日歐列強也摸摸鼻，忍下怨氣，移出在中國之投資，連台商都無法在中國生存。美國現在是對中國發動經濟戰，習進平無知，中國留美博士群尚未在執政圈，滿頭霧水，不知所措。

美國禁運日本石油，因此日本偷襲珍珠港，美國禁運俄羅斯，逼得普丁挺而走險，侵略烏克蘭，然後美國聯合歐洲各國，幫助烏克蘭抗俄，美國出兵，應該是普丁動用核武，威脅世界和平安全。

中國不幸，讓共匪統治，習進平又想侵略台灣，危害美國和日本在台投資，人家蔣介石統一中國前，保證列強在中國之利益，毛澤東沒收租界，習進平沒收香港，又武肺危害全球，毫無忌憚，不改賊匪本性，現在又要連三任，至少五年，習比普丁識相，不敢挑戰川普之戰機戰艦戰爭，但拜登之經濟戰，已經奏效，美國可以撐下通貨膨脹，中國無法，中國降息，美國升息，一明例也。

The U.S. Dollar's appreciation value in 2022/Carlos Pueblo

 The U.S. Dollar's appreciation value in 2022/Carlos Pueblo

It's very interesting of the U.S. Dollar's appreciation in 2022 under the current inflation. Amy tells me that all items are marked up nowadays everywhere. I don't do very much shopping and I only pay her monthly for our grocery needs. I always have an idea that the U.S. Dollar is diminishing gradually. People yet are talking that the U.S. Dollar is a strong currency that I am puzzled.

I understand that both the White House and the Federal Reserve agree that the economic strength is strong in the nation, the employment rate is high as well as the economic growth is sound. In order to reduce the inflation, the Fed has raised the interest rate several times. Yet the stock market is indicated otherwise. All other nations are not following up to the U.S. on the interest rate hike; therefore, there is a demand of the U.S. currency in their nations. Most of the foreign currencies are collapsing. 

First, foreign nations' central banks most exhaust their U.S. Dollars reserves to satisfy their citizens needs, then, they must sell their U.S. Treasury holdings next to get more U.S. Dollars in order to meet the demand of U.S. Dollars domestically. Therefore, the U.S. Dollar is strong for no appearance reasons. I feel good yet I am not in any benefit at all. I pay all my payment for my foreign travel at home and I don't purchase anything abroad. It is cheaper to purchase at home because the foreign goods sold cheaper here in the U.S. I know that we must pay more, 25% more due to the import tax added in Chinese goods. I only pay for tennis balls occasionally.

Stock markets are collapsing due to the worry of the inflation theory, after 14 years growth continually, we are due to have a correction or recession. The Fed hike of interest rate is directed to fight to a economic hard landing, we like to have a soft landing. We hope to have this inflation of 2022 to to be eased off some time soon then we can forget and back to the old day. I don't watch the daily fluctuation of the market. I can just practice my frugal behavior and enjoy my appreciated U.S. Dollar at home.

說美金升值2022／莊峻華

 說美金升值2022／莊峻華

美國正面臨嚴重之通貨膨脹，美國中央銀行和白宮均認為美國應該先控制通膨，抑著物價高升，所以提高貸款利率，現在房屋貸款接近年利率6.75％，因此我在銀行一年定期，可以拿到2.75％，所以美金升值，其他國家中央銀行，尚未跟進長息，卻忙著應付國內擠兌購買美金，先消耗庫存美金，然後賣出外匯美國公債，換取美金，以應付國內美金需求，避免國家貨幣貶值崩潰，上次旅行日本，一美金換一百日元，現在一美金換一百四十四日元，真是不可思議，難怪我的日本汽車股，繼續受壓抑，不僅是缺乏晶片零件而已。

各國都在收購美金，持有美金，就是無息貸款給美國，過去二十年，美國利率低，長期公債幾無利息，現在公債未到期兌現美金，又無息借給美國，難怪各國央行咬牙切齒，美國省下許多利息。

美國面對這次通貨膨脹，何以可以提高利率？抑制經濟繼續擴充？這是央行和白宮同意就業率高，美金流暢無礙，不像2008年之消條景象，2008年的處理經驗，得自於1987年的高利率，政府和民間一起搶資金，因此有2008年之處理結論，降低利率，廣印鈔票使資金流暢，促進14年毫無間斷之成長，這是違反經濟學原理，因此有今年之成長高原期，有今年之通貨膨脹，央行升息是冷卻經濟，待有消條跡象，有稍高利息可以降息操作空間，這是軟著陸，道理很簡單，容易了解，美國經濟體大，國家赤字，讓成長之國家國內總生產額數目來沖淡，美國物產豐富，政治上軌道，只要可負擔利息，本金國債可以永遠不還，這和我們個人家庭經濟稍異，國家有稅收，我們要有工作收入，要節約儲蓄和投資。

我剛好賣掉所石油股票，留住一些現金，來熬過股市之暴跌套牢，我賠錢政府也減少我的所得稅收入，我相信拜登總統站在同一陣線，我們要共渡難關。

Enjoying the Tibetan folk dance/Carlos Pueblo

 Enjoying the Tibetan folk dance/Carlos Pueblo

There is a video appeared on my You Tube named the Gouchuang Dance of Tibet in Chengdu, China, a kind of folk dance quite similar to many folk dances in the world such as our Taiwanese aboriginal folk dance yet more hands wave movement with lively songs. I have been attracted for days and study about it in details. There are only about seven millions Tibetans in the world and most of them live in current day China, 6.3 millions in Tibet and some spread around the adjacent provinces such as Yunnan, Sichuan, Chinghai, and Sikang etc. They come down from the highland to Chengdu, Sichuan for work and the dance party are gathered under a highway bridge in the south part of the city regularly.

The foot steps are slow and discipline while hands move like waves to symbolize hills, lakes, seas and flowers, etc. accompanied with popular songs quick and touching with romantic words. Dancers are line up sometimes with pairs who are showing symmetrically. Ladies are moving gracefully while young males are moving legs more freely like Buddhas statues. There are always some dancers dressing up with Tibetan colorful and lovely dresses. I am very fond of the young charming lady dancers.

Amy recommends me following the You Tube video to dance like her on a note book computer; therefore, I can have my shoulder exercises. Actually I am more impressed to the attractive lady dancers of Tibetans. I adore their slender appearance even though some mid age ladies look like Mexican Indians yet still good looking. I check on Google search about the city of Chengdu which is the provincial capital of Sichuan, China. It is also called the city of the Hibiscus. We grow the beautiful flower at home. I am aware of two charming Chinese ladies, Ning Sing of the old anchor lady of the Radio of America and Cherry Yang from Taiwan. In the early 1980's, Cherry used to trade business in Chengdu where her parents were from. 

I hope that one day the Tibetan will have their our nation. Historically they are not Chinese as well as culturally and religiously. I don't see any kinds of dance in Chinese culture and their unique cloths both man gentlemen and ladies. They are not Chinese.

西藏鍋庒舞／莊峻華

 西藏鍋庒舞／莊峻華

這兩日我將網誌裡介紹的西藏鍋庒舞，仔細欣賞一遍，約有幾十影集，非常有趣，我年輕時代就喜歡跳交際舞，雖然有身短腳短缺陷，但不阻礙我興致，後來還擔任高中學生課外活動，土風舞指導老師，許多美憶。這西藏鍋庒舞是中國蓉城成都一位睿軒吉祥製作，他在成都府南一羅馬假日廣場，就是一公路高架橋下，開辦一西藏鍋庒舞會，例假日許多藏人俊男美女，結集表演鍋庒舞，也帶動許多青年老少前來學習活動，我被吸引主要是這些西藏美女，她們的傳統盛裝，鍋庒舞採用之韻律節奏，我一共觀看兩整天，已經有很多心得。

全球西藏人口約六百五十萬人，西藏幅員約臺灣之47倍大，許多藏人除住西藏外，自古散佈於中國青康，雲南，四川等地，印度，尼泊爾，美國等都有一些西藏難民，西藏自古不屬中國，他們有自己的王國，文成公主合番到吐番，吐番就是圖博，西藏之英語名。西藏比鄰四川，因此藏人到成都謀生，有鍋庒舞之氣候。成都又稱芙蓉城，蓋中國五代十國成都主孟昶遍植芙蓉而得美名。這鍋庒舞腳步外，尚重手臂揮動舞姿，我們臺灣山地舞之橫行前後，以色列猶太舞姿等均包括，這製作人睿軒提供之舞星男女，都有規律節奏，若併肩則見一致，顯然有很長之訓練，我看一段基本舞步，舞肩手臂腳步，一共有五招，然後就是重複。

鍋庒舞的音樂是流行歌曲，例如拉薩夜語，草原，格瑪等，都是輕快旋律，約是西藏解放後之作品，若是歌頌共產黨毛澤東之歌曲，觀眾人數就減少。

我對中國成都有些美憶，剛才想找出一位楊太太舊識，這是一位台灣嘉義空軍子弟，嘉女畢業，台大機械系畢業，曾經兼職房地產，主要是對中國成都貿易，十分成功，在我們紀念區大道有一辦公室，是位美女。另一位是美國之音之寧馨，時事論談，現在看不到她的主持，也是位成都美女，當然這兩位都非藏族。

藏族鍋庒舞是一難得之民族舞蹈，西藏獨立前，中國必需努力維護，中國漢人沒有如此文化，其實整個世界都難覓，何況這些西藏美女？我猜印度東北幾省中國人面孔者，也是藏族，他們自己投票加入印度，和西藏命運迥然不同。